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An Introduction to Derivative Securities, Financial Markets, and Risk ManagementAdvanced Financial Risk Management, 2nd ed.

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For Kamakura blog readers, it's a  pleasure to let you have advance warning that the Kamakura troubled company index declined again in a major way in June, dropping another 2.4% to 16.4%.  The index is now well below the March 2009 peak of 24.3.  The full details will be included in a press release on Tuesday, June 30.

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A number of financial institutions have written to say that they’ve linked macro factors to credit losses, but the next step in the process is unclear. Take the stock index 2 year return, a statistically significant macro factor in the version 3.0 KRIS default models, as an example. If one can predict credit losses as a function of this macro factor, what’s the hedge? Can one just short stock index futures? This post illustrates the answer with a simple example.

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